Thursday, August 27, 2015

ALERT #7 on Tropical Storm Erika


TS Erika remains unorganized but tropical storm watches and alerts are still in place. 

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES THE ISLANDS OF:
  • INAGUA
  • MAYAGUANA
  • ACKLINS
  • CROOKED ISLAND
  • RAGGED ISLAND.


A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CAN POSSIBLY BE EXPERIENCED IN THOSE ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM ALERT ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES THE ISLANDS OF:
  • LONG ISLAND
  • CAT ISLAND
  • THE EXUMAS
  • SAN SALVADOR
  • RUM CAY.


A TROPICAL STORM ALERT MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CAN POSSIBLY BE EXPERIENCED IN THOSE ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT 60 HOURS.

AT 2:00 PM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 63.8 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 644 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK, 724 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF INAGUA AND 1074 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW PROVIDENCE. 

ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MILES PER HOUR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL MOVE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES OF THE CENTER MAINLY TO EAST OF THE CENTER.

RAINFALL: ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY.


RESIDENTS IN THE AFOREMENTIONED ISLANDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SECURE 
THEIR PROPERTIES. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

ALERT #5 ON TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ISSUED


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  •  Erika moving west at 16mph
  •  
  • Maximum Sustained winds at 50mph
  •  
  • Little Change Expected in the next 48 hours 


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TROPICAL STORM ERIKA IS POORLY ORGANIZED

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES:
·     INAGUA



·     MAYAGUANA



·     ACKLINS



·     CROOKED ISLAND



·     RAGGED ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CAN POSSIBLY BE EXPERIENCED IN THOSE ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM ALERT ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS WHICH INCLUDES:

·     LONG ISLAND

·     CAT ISLAND

·     THE EXUMAS

·     SAN SALVADOR


·     RUM CAY

A TROPICAL STORM ALERT MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CAN POSSIBLY BE EXPERIENCED IN THOSE ISLANDS WITHIN THE NEXT 60 HOURS.

AT 8:00 AM, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 62.7 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 675 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK, 750 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF INAGUA AND 1110 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW PROVIDENCE. 

ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MILES PER HOUR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL MOVE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES OF THE CENTER MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

RAINFALL: ERIKA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY.

RESIDENTS IN THE AFOREMENTIONED ISLANDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SECURE THEIR PROPERTIES. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERIKA.

Wednesday, August 26, 2015

Tropical Storm Alerts issued for The Bahamas

ALERT #1 ON TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY AT NOON EDT, WEDNESDAY AUGUST 26, 2015.


A TROICAL STORM ALERT IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF INAGUA, MAYAGUANA, ACKLINS, CROOKED ISLAND AND RAGGED ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM ALERT MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS CAN POSSIBLY BE EXPERIENCED IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF INAGUA, MAYAGUANA, ACKLINS, CROOKED ISLAND AND RAGGED ISLAND WITHIN FORTY-EIGHT TO SIXTY HOURS.

AT 11:00 AM  EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1° DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 57.5 DEGREES WEST OR ABOUT 886 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GRAND TURK, 938 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF INAGUA AND 1,231 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEW PROVIDENCE. 

TROPICAL ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MILES PER HOUR AND A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL MOVE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.


RESIDENTS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND THE ISLANDS OF INAGUA, MAYAGUANA, ACKLINS, CROOKED ISLAND AND RAGGED ISLAND SHOULD BEGIN TO SECURE THEIR PROPERTIES FOR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE HURRICANE CONDITIONS.  

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Tropical Storm Erika Potential Threat to Bahamas

Tropical Storm Erika Prompts Watches For Leeward Islands; Potential Threat to Puerto Rico, Virgin Islands, Hispanola, Bahamas

  • Tropical Storm Erika formed late Monday night about 730 miles east of the Leeward Islands.
  • Erika is expected to remain a tropical storm and slowly gather strength as it moves quickly to the west.
  • The northern Leeward Islands may feel tropical storm-force winds by late Wednesday night into early Thursday.
  • Erika's future track and intensity beyond Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands is highly uncertain, and may involve a track near the Bahamas this weekend and possibly parts of the Southeast U.S. coast next week.
NEWS ITEM

NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM ERIKA ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, AT NOON TUESDAY 25TH AUGUST 2015.

…ERIKA SHOWING LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH AT THIS TIME …

AT 11:00 AM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIKA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2° NORTH AND LONGITUDE 51.0° WEST OR ABOUT 730 MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ERIKA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT NEAR 20 MPH AND A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF ERIKA WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES FROM THE CENTER.

RESIDENTS, PARTICULARLY IN THE SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS ERIKA HAS THE POTENTIAL TO AFFECT THE ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS.
 
THE NEXT NEWS ITEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 6:00 PM.
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Due to Erika's fast movement, it's already forecast to arrive in the northern Leeward islands Wednesday night or early Thursday with potential tropical storm-force winds and heavy rain, prompting tropical storm watches to be issued early Tuesday morning for Montserrat, Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts and Nevis, Aguilla, Saba, St. Eustatius, St. Maarten, Guadeloupe, St. Martin and St. Barthelemy.

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

TROPICAL STORM DANNY FORMS

  • 4th Tropical Storm Forms
  • Strengthening Expected 
  • Moving West 12MPH 



NEWS ITEM ON TROPICAL STORM DANNY ISSUED BY THE BAHAMAS DEPARTMENT OF METEOROLOGY FORECAST OFFICE SECTION, AT 6PM TUESDAY 18TH AUGUST 2015.

DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO THE FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2015 ATLANTIC SEASON…
AT 5PM EDT, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 37.5° WEST.

DANNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH. A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MILES PER HOUR (MPH) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND DANNY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THURSDAY.

THE NEXT NEWS ITEM WILL BE ISSUED AT 6AM (6/19/2015) 

TD4 just formed; Far from The Bahamas, formation


BREAKING

Tropical Depression Four has just formed in the eastern Atlantic Ocean about 1,665 miles east of the Windward Islands. 

The depression is expected to become Tropical Storm Danny by tonight or tomorrow and could become a hurricane by the weekend. 

The system is expected to continue to strengthen but is still many days and almost 2000 miles away from The Bahamas

RARE TO NOT HAVE AN AUGUST STORM

It's not very often we go through an entire August without a single active named storm. In fact, the last time it happened was 18 years ago in August 1997. Before that you have to go back to 1961 to find an August with no named storms.